The Becker Report
Volume I
Issue XVI
June 9, 2005

Distribution:
Tim Rudd, Clermont County GOP Chairman
Paul Hall, Brown County GOP Chairman
Harty Wallingford, Adams County GOP Chairman
Rodney Barnett, Scioto County GOP Chairman
Ray “Moose” Dutey, Lawrence County GOP Chairman


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Well over 200 people now subscribe.
Additionally, it apparently gets forwarded to hundreds more.

2nd Congressional District News
The primary election is June 14, 2005.
And the general election is August 2, 2005.

Prediction (Never in doubt, and rarely correct)
Although I've made predictions in other races, I wasn't planning to make a prediction in this one.
However, I've very recently begun to get a real sense about who will win.
Tom Brinkman will be our next Congressman.
I'm not going to pretend to be unbiased, but there are several points to consider.

Tom Brinkman not only supports those issues, but he has a proven track record of taking a leadership position on those issues.
I predict that Tom Brinkman will get that message out and that he will win.

Taking Heat
I'm taking heat for sending out candidate campaign information.
In the May 15 edition of my newsletter, I included a paragraph submitted by Steve Austin.
I have also forwarded one campaign e-mail each for Tom Brinkman, Bob McEwen, and David R. Smith.
No other campaign has submitted anything to me to send out.
If I get requests from other candidates to send out similar information, I will probably honor those requests.

(Avoiding "heat" is one of the reasons I generally prefer to stay out of primaries.)

Is a State Central Committeeman required to be fair to all candidates in a primary?
Long time readers of The Becker Report know that I am generally fair to all Republican candidates.
They also know that I usually find nice things to say about the candidates.
There is no requirement to be fair, balanced, or consistent.
It is my personal choice and not a requirement due to the office that I hold.

Has John Becker been working hard for only one candidate?
I am very strongly in favor of one particular candidate.
However, I often find myself defending and advocating for other candidates.
I signed petitions for several of the candidates and did not sign a petition for my favorite candidate.
Additionally, I gave names, phone numbers, and other information to every candidate who asked.
I have also introduced multiple candidates to multiple people.

While campaigning door-to-door, if the voter mentions or asks about another candidate, I mostly say positive things about that person.
Furthermore, I introduce myself as a volunteer and rarely give a business card or mention my office.
When I do, it is always in the context of "another hat that I wear."
While not required to do so, I prefer to separate my duties as a State Central Committeeman and a private citizen.

Since John Becker has a favorite candidate in this race, why doesn't he use The Becker Report as a campaign tool?
I've never claimed to be unbiased, but I enjoy working with all of the candidates.
They also seem to appreciate my magnanimity.
Part of my job is to disseminate information district wide.
Advocating and reporting on only one candidate would be a disservice to my readers.
I try to be friendly to everybody, and this newsletter is one way to do that.

Will John Becker endorse a candidate?
After I contacted the Ohio Republican Party, they verified that, as a State Central Committeeman, I am free to endorse and/or advocate for any candidate(s) in a primary.
However, I will not endorse in this race.
I'm concerned that some people may confuse my endorsement with that of the ORP.
The ORP has made no endorsement in this race.
And neither has Rob Portman.
Just for the record, I intend to support whoever wins this primary.

Endorsements
All eleven candidates were asked to let me know what organizations are endorsing them.
I specified that I would not list any personal endorsements because they are too numerous (and sometimes questionable).
If they did not respond, I looked on their web sites.

Steve Austin - None that I could find
Tom Bemmes - None that I could find

Tom Brinkman

Pat DeWine - None that I could find
Peter Fossett - None that I could find
Bob McEwen Eric Minamyer - None that I could find
Doug Mink - None that I could find
Jeff Morgan
- None that I could find

Jean Schmidt
David R. Smith - None that I could find

House Banking Scandal
I made a comment in an e-mail that, "I've been defending Bob McEwen better than Bob McEwen has been defending Bob McEwen."
A few days later Bob McEwen called me to discuss the issue.
I explained to him my understanding of the House Banking Scandal, and he confirmed that I am correct:
  1. The House Bank, at that time, was not computerized and relied on the original pencil and ledger system of the 1800s
  2. Although the deposits were submitted, the clerk didn't seem to think that it was important to log them into the ledger before logging in the cleared checks
  3. In the past, nobody cared that accounts were technically "overdrawn"
  4. The least wealthy members did not keep large balances and were therefore the most vulnerable to ledger entry timing issues
  5. The media smelled blood and the rest is history
If my understanding is correct, Bob McEwen is a victim of the House Banking Scandal, not a perpetrator of it.

Gubernatorial Election News
Ken Blackwell, Betty Montgomery, and Jim Petro remain the three candidates.
Phil Heimlich is with Jim Petro and remains the only named candidate for Lt. Governor.

U.S. Senate Election News
Senator Mike DeWine and Retired USAF Lt.Col. John Mitchel are the only two candidates.

Secretary of State Election News
Ann Womer Benjamin, Greg Hartmann, and Jim Trakas are the candidates.
Rob Montgomery was also mentioned.

State Auditor Election News
Mary Taylor and David Varda remain the only candidates.

Attorney General Election News
Ron O'Brien, David Yost, and Tim Grendell appear to be candidates.
Joe Deters also mentioned that he is considering it.

State Treasurer Election News
Jennette Bradley remains the only candidate.

6th Congressional District News
Danny Harmon has been campaigning.
Lawrence County Commissioner, Jason Stephens, told me that he is interested.
I've also heard that Chuck Blasdel is interested.

Past Events
June 7, 2005
The final candidate's forum was at Lebanon Junior High School.
All eleven candidates had the questions in advance and were well prepared.
Although some mud slinging occurred, the candidates did a good job sticking to the wide variety of issues.
Peter Fossett did a great job courting the left wing of the Party.
I thought that it was particularly classy and gentlemanly the way that Steve Austin closed by thanking all of his opponents.
About 100 people attended, including John Ashbrook, Jeff Hardin, Peter Schmidt, and Lori Viars.

June 3, 2005
About 250 people attended, the Citizens for Community Values candidate's forum in Montgomery.
It was quite a yawn compared to the one in Anderson Twp.
The legendary Whistleblower and I sat in the back of the room and watched.
Pat DeWine boycotted the event for reasons that only he understands.
Several Democrats spoke, and they sounded fairly conservative.
Mary Anne Christie attended with her husband.
I also spoke with Paula Westwood, Greg Quinlan, Barry Sheets, and greeted Phil Burress and Peter Schmidt in the back of the room.
From Brown County, I saw Michelle Jowers, Aaron Hines and Tim Guthrie and his family.
It was also good to see Alan and Judy Martin and Joe Platt again.

June 2, 2005
I participated in a conference call with ORP Chairman Bennett.
He addressed the issue of "Coingate."
The Chairman also opened it up to tell him what we are hearing on the streets.
I told him what I've been hearing during my door-to-door campaigning.
Additionally, I asked the Chairman, on a scale of 1 to 10, how big the "Coingate" issue is.

June 1, 2005
My day began by riding to Columbus with Tom Brinkman and Ben Hill.
I had a nice discussion with Rick Hatcher.
He is the Assistant HR Director for State Treasurer Jennette Bradley.
Afterward, Joe Uecker and I enjoyed lunch together.
It was also a pleasure to meet Joe's Administrative Assistant, Steve Clegg.

Later that evening, I attended a candidate's forum sponsored by the Anderson Twp Republican Club.
Before the event began, Liz McEwen and I talked about the House Banking Scandal.
She helped me to understand that her husband did nothing wrong.

I was stunned to hear Pat DeWine hammer away at Bob McEwen and Jean Schmidt.
The crowd didn't like it either.
Some stormed out and those who remained booed him off the stage.
Afterward, the club members rated only Tom Brinkman and Bob McEwen as "Highly Qualified."

May 31, 2005
It was another one of those long days.
I rode to Columbus with Tom Brinkman and Jonathan Crisp.
We met Danny Bubp and Joe Uecker for lunch in the mall.
At the end of a long hard day in Columbus, Tom Brinkman, Jonathan Crisp, and I traveled to the candidate's forum in New Boston (a few miles east of Portsmouth).
It was good to see many friends including P.J. Wenzel, Kay Reynolds, Doug Cade, Kevin Craft, Harty Wallingford, Rick Jones, Rodney Barnett, Jason Stephens, and the legendary Whistleblower.
Rodney Barnett emceed the event and I was one of the people screening questions from the audience.
All eleven candidates participated.
The event was well organized and broadcasted live on a local radio station (WPAY).
Over 200 people attended.

May 20, 2005
The Republican State Central Committee held its' Spring meeting.
Adam Greenslade no longer works for Chairman Bennett.
The Chairman now works for Mr. Greenslade.
Adam was sworn in as a State Committeeman to replace Rex Damschroder in the 26th Senate District.
Rex resigned his State Committee seat after accepting a position on the Freemont City Council.
Chairman Bennett's new assistant is Pat Melton.

After receiving 125 applications, all ORP Field Rep positions are now filled.
Of my five counties, Lindsay Shuba is the ORP Rep for Lawrence County and SE Ohio.
P.J. Wenzel has my other four counties as part of SW Ohio.

As you might recall the ORP has created 21 Steering Committee Regions.
Several regional chairs have been named.
Kay Reynolds is region 16 (Scioto, Pike, Ross, and Pickaway Counties).
Kay Ayres is region 17 (Brown, Adams, Highland, Clinton, and Fayette Counties).
Scott Owens is region 19 (Clermont, Warren, and Butler Counties).
Buck Niehoff is region 20 (Hamilton County).
Jason Stephens is region 21 (Lawrence, Gallia, Jackson, Vinton, and Meigs Counties).

"Lessons Learned" from the November election:
  1. A balanced, statewide target strategy is more effective
  2. Focusing on turnout paid off
  3. High turnout does not always favor Democrats
  4. Investing in voter registration paid off
  5. Outsourcing political programs, such as voter registration and turnout, to '527' groups is risky and potentially unreliable
  6. Ohio's urban counties are losing population, while the exurban and rural counties are gaining
  7. The battle for votes in Ohio is shifting to the exurban counties surrounding the metropolitan areas
  8. Build an effective statewide organization down to the grassroots level
  9. Practice makes perfect
Urban, Exurban, and Rural Goals were also presented.

The Democrats have also learned a few lessons: John Allison, Governor Taft's Chief of Staff, gave a presentation on tax reform, the budget, and a bond issue.
Dawn Sugasa, ORP Finance Director, discussed Trailblazers and revenue goals.
Chairman Bennett also discussed the Ohio Restoration Project, biased polls against Governor Taft, and adding an ethics component to ORP campaign schools.

All of us were given a binder rich with reference information.
We also got a folder with information on potential 2005 ballot issues, a May 19, 2005 State Chairman's Meeting, and other interesting information.
Please let me know if you would like any additional details.

May 18, 2005
A large number of people that I've never seen before attended the Clermont County Central Committee meeting in Batavia.
They thought it was important to show their support for Jean Schmidt.
The endorsement vote for Jean was an overwhelming 61 to 26.
After the vote, she gave a great acceptance speech and was then congratulated by her many supporters.
Chairman Tim Rudd stated that he is looking forward to finally having a Congressman from Clermont County.
Although he knew that the endorsement vote was inevitable, Bob McEwen greeted attendees at the door with free pizza and beverages.
He and David R. Smith addressed the crowd after the endorsement vote was taken.
Tom Brinkman was unable to attend because he was in Columbus maintaining his 100% voting record.

Future Events
June 11, 2005
Southern Ohio Chairmen's Conference in Jackson at 10:00 AM
Betty Montgomery will be the keynote speaker
Contact Chairman Rodney Barnett for more information: 740-778-2110

June 11, 2005
First Annual Ronald Reagan Memorial Picnic at the Adams County Fairgrounds
Social begins at 5:30 PM and dinner at 6:30
All candidates who attend will be offered a few minutes to speak to the crowd.
Tickets are only $10. Contact Harty Wallingford for more information: 937-587-3428

June 14, 2005
Primary Election Day for the 2nd Congressional District

June 15, 2005
Butler County Young Republican Roast at Tori's Station Banquet Center in Fairfield
Master of Ceremonies: George Wendt (you know him better as "Norm" from the TV show Cheers)
Reception and Dinner is $80; Dinner only for $40; Silent auction
RSVP by June 10, 2005 to Scott Lepsky at (513) 829-3030
Or Butler County GOP headquarters at (513) 893-5292

June 22, 2005
Candidates debate at Chatfield College from 7:00 - 9:00 in St. Martin, Brown County
Contact Denny Kiley at 513-875-3683 for more info

June 24 and 25, 2005
Grassroots Activist School at The Potter's House Church of God in Columbus
Sponsored by Citizens for Community Values
Keynote Speaker: Morton Blackwell, president of the Leadership Institute
Call 1-888-274-2345 for more information

June 26, 2005
DeWine Ice Cream Social in Cedarville

July 12, 2005
Scioto County Central Committee meeting at 7:00 PM

July 23, 2005
Ohio Republican Party Campaign School in Columbus

August 2, 2005
General Election Day for the 2nd Congressional District

August 9, 2005
Scioto County Central Committee meeting at 7:00 PM

_________________________________________________
John Becker
Republican State Central Committeeman
Ohio's 14th Senate District
Clermont, Brown, Adams, Scioto, and Lawrence Counties
513-753-6440
www.BeckerGOP.com
mailto:John@BeckerGOP.com
www.BeckerGOP.com/TheBeckerReport.htm